A day after three separate polls showed Gov. Ted Strickland in a dead heat with Wall Street banker and former Congressman John Kasich, a new poll released this morning shows Strickland up by 1 point. Respected Democratic pollster Benenson Strategy Group found Strickland is winning 41 percent of the vote to Kasich’s 40 percent, with Kasich’s fav/unfav rating underwater while Strickland remains much more favorable.
Building a Stronger Ohio, an independent group with support and funding from the DGA, today launched its sixth ad exposing how Kasich got rich working for Wall Street. The ad is available here.
All recent polling shows the momentum in this race with Gov. Strickland, as he has closed a gap in the high single digits to make the race a dead heat.
STRICKLAND LEADS KASICH BY 1 POINT
Building on a recent trend of favorable public opinion survey results, Gov. Ted Strickland (D) now has forged into the lead — 41% to 40% — over John Kasich (R) in a very hot gubernatorial race, according to a recently-concluded poll by the highly-respected Benenson Strategy Group of Washington, DC.
Six (6) percent of respondents chose other candidates and 13% were undecided. The poll of 600 likely voters was taken conducted from September 25 – 27, 2010.
Speaking for Benenson Strategy Group, pollster Peter Brodnitz said, “As early voting begins, the race for Governor is a dead heat: Governor Strickland leads John Kasich 41% to 40%, including leaners. While Kasich’s ballot support and favorability are essentially the same – 40% support Kasich and 41% are favorable toward him – Governor Strickland’s 47% favorable rating exceeds both his current ballot support [41%] and is 6% higher than Kasich’s favorable rating.”
The margin of error is plus or minus 4% (see methodology memo). The poll was commissioned by the Campaign for the Moderate Majority (CMM.)
Strickland had a favorable-to-unfavorable rating of 47% to 43%, with 11% stating ‘no opinon/don’t know’. In comparison, Kasich had a favorable-to unfavorable rating of 41% to 31%, with a surprisingly high 28% over stating ‘no opinon/don’t know’ about him with just five weeks left to Election Day.
The new Benenson poll follows closely on the heels of The New York Times/CBS poll yesterday showing that Kasich had slipped to a one-point lead – 43 % to 42 % — over Strickland.